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Complexity Kills
This is a true story about two companies that made very different choices about how to handle complexity. I know it’s true because I worked at both.
Each was trying to grow, serve customers better, and scale. But they responded to complexity in opposite ways. One met it with clarity and constraint. The other met it with technical intricacy.
Both believed they were making smart choices. Only one built something that lasted.
Beyond Buzzwords: How to Build Successful AI-Powered Products
A provocative answer is that [the process of building software products using AI] is fundamentally different and none of what applies to a traditional product is useful. At the other extreme, a conservative answer is that it isn’t different at all – it is simply old wine in a new bottle. From my experience leading teams in the creation of several AI-driven products, the truth lies somewhere in the middle. The core principles are the same, but the specifics are different in significant ways.
The Rise of the Fractional Product Leader
More companies are turning to fractional product leaders—experienced VPs and CPOs who embed with the team part-time—to help them build focus, momentum, and clarity without needing to make a full-time hire. And it’s not just startups trying to save on headcount. It’s Series B and C companies that need to scale fast. It’s founder-led orgs looking to shift decision-making to the team. It’s growth-stage companies realizing that having someone ‘own the roadmap’ isn’t the same as having strong product leadership.
More People Who Know Less Can Now Make More
The arrival of AI as a creative partner and co-author means we’re entering an era where the cost of building a product approaches zero. That doesn’t make building irrelevant. It makes it foundational: a necessary but in and of itself insufficient step. The winners will be the ones who pair that speed with thoughtfulness. Who use the time saved by automation not to crank out more features, but to get closer to the user, to test better hypotheses, to sweat the details that AI can’t see.
Over-Indexing on Product Delivery Can Cost You Millions
When product discovery is neglected, the costs quickly add up. In one case from personal experience, the cost was 10 person-years of effort spent on a failed launch that didn’t resolve the underlying customer problem. Despite the growth of dedicated product organizations, many product managers still find themselves constrained by waterfall delivery structures designed with little autonomy that hinders their long-term product success. Product Managers frequently lack the ability to direct their roadmaps based on product effectiveness and customer value. The root issue often lies in organizational culture, where delivery milestones overshadow customer value and experimentation.
The Age of the Mediocre Polymath
AI is turning all of us into passable designers, average developers, and decent writers. But not experts. And if we’re not careful, we’ll start mistaking volume for value, and output for outcomes. “I can, therefore I will” is a thought process that destroys companies.
The Illusion of Mastery
When organizations flatten hierarchies and outsource key decision-making to AI, they create PMs who look like they know what they’re doing but lack the deep, nuanced understanding required for long-term success. AI-driven tools promise to exacerbate this further by making execution easier, reinforcing a cycle where PMs remain stuck in the mechanics of the role rather than engaging in deeper strategic thinking.
Are You Leading, or Just a Really Senior PM?
The key difference is that teaching scales, while doing does not. If your approach to leadership is just an extension of your approach to product management, if you are still in the details and still making sure every major decision is right, you are not actually leading. You are just a really senior PM.
Conway’s Implication
If AI begins to assume all roles in the product development process — acting as product manager, designer, and engineer — we’re not just witnessing an evolution in product development; we’re staring at an extinction event for traditional workflows. With AI serving as both strategist and executor, organizational communication would become highly structured, frictionless, and nearly instantaneous. But what does this really mean?
SLOW DOWN
The impulse to move fast is powerful. Tech culture celebrates speed, iteration, and rapid execution. But there’s a difference between moving fast and moving with purpose. The best products aren’t the ones that accumulate the most features. They’re the ones that stay focused, intuitive, and built with intention. So the next time you’re faced with a new request, ask yourself: Are we moving fast and breaking things? Or are we taking the time to ensure we’re building the right thing?
Why Goals Fail (And How to Fix Them)
A company sets a goal to “onboard 100 customers by the end of Q2.” On paper, it’s a textbook example of a SMART goal: specific, measurable, and time-bound. But as the quarter progresses, cracks emerge. Teams scramble to hit the target at all costs, sacrificing quality, innovation, and sustainability. Customers are onboarded, but many have a poor experience, disengage quickly, or fail to adopt the platform effectively.
What went wrong? The problem isn’t the ambition, it’s the framing. Rigid, number-driven goals often backfire, creating tunnel vision, short-term thinking, and even unethical behavior. The solution is to pair goals with meaningful constraints: parameters that balance quantity with quality and short-term wins with long-term success.
The Product Manager’s Guide to Prioritization
In product management, prioritization isn't just a best practice, it’s a necessity. With limited engineering resources, tight timelines, and fierce competition, deciding what to build next is a high-stakes game. Every hour spent on one feature is an hour not spent on another, and the opportunity cost of building the wrong thing can be crippling. It’s not just about delivering features; it’s about making the bold, strategic moves that will shape your product’s future and determine your company’s success. Prioritization helps you navigate these constraints by focusing on the features that deliver the most value, ensuring that every decision drives impact, aligns with business goals, and keeps you ahead of the competition.
How to Create a Product Roadmap
Start by anchoring your roadmap in a clear product vision. Define the long-term impact your product aims to achieve. Without this north star, the roadmap can become just another list that lacks cohesion. The vision acts as a filter for evaluating any feature or initiative's relevance.
How to Create a Product Vision
Your product vision should articulate the journey you're inviting users to undertake, where they, the heroes of your story, overcome challenges with your product's help. This story anchors everything else.
Convolution / Evolution
The problem with unchecked and unintentional complexity is that it gradually narrows the 'solution space' — the range of future improvements, adjustments, or innovations that can be realistically pursued. Picture the solution space as a playground where designers and developers have room to explore new ideas and tackle emerging challenges. As complexity accumulates without careful management, walls begin to form in this playground, limiting the freedom to experiment and improve. Changes become riskier, and small tweaks can lead to a cascade of unintended consequences. The more convoluted the system, the fewer opportunities there are to introduce meaningful, impactful updates without further complicating the product or alienating users.
Innovating in a Loss Averse Environment
In my path to product management, I've been shaped by both luck and a diverse background in computer science, economics, and data analysis. Flexibility has been key as I’ve navigated various industries, from e-Commerce to FinTech to InsurTech. In highly regulated sectors, the challenge lies in balancing innovation with compliance, anticipating regulatory changes, and managing risks. I’ve learned that well-rounded skills and strong collaboration are essential to managing complexity and adapting effectively, especially when working within strict regulations while still driving meaningful product development.
No, ChatGPT is not taking your PM job.
Are LLMs coming for your job as a Product Manager? Not so fast. While tools like ChatGPT are powerful, they still fall short of replacing the creative and logical reasoning that PMs bring to the table. In this post I explore four critical blockers that will keep PMs indispensable in the evolving tech landscape.
From Physics to Product: The Importance of First Principles
How many of us have joined a new company and proposed a promising solution to a problem only to have it rejected with “we tried that n years ago and it didn’t work”? Or conversely, had a new executive join your company and repeat “here’s how we did things at my last company” ad nauseum? (I may or may not have been guilty of the latter in the past.) These are telltale signs of a surface level understanding. As Product Managers, and particularly as executives, we must be able to evaluate and convey the validity of ideas from first principles if we hope to maintain success across companies and over time.
Leading the Way: Strategies for Success in 2024's Challenging PM Job Market
As product leaders, we are in a unique market that has shifted drastically in the past two years leading to a difficult job market for product leaders. We've gathered product leaders who have successfully navigated this tough market recently to share their practical insights. Join your fellow senior product leaders as our newly appointed Chief Product Officers and Vice Presidents of Product share their journey through job searching, negotiating offers, and settling into their new roles. Gain practical insights and strategies to excel in the competitive 2024 PM job market.
Riffception: A Riff on Riffs
Discover the power of the "riff"—a quick, untemplatized writing approach to unblock your creativity and accelerate work. Learn how prioritizing content over perfection can help you share ideas more effectively, especially for Type A perfectionists. Get riffing today!
Even in this world, more things exist without our knowledge than with it and the order in creation which you see is that which you have put there, like a string in a maze, so that you shall not lose your way.